Comments
about the real and future situation of
Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A
We could
start analysing Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A looking at how is the firm
doing in the stock exchange. Melia
Hoteles Internationals, S.A has a market capital of 1.491,15€ million which really shows how
this company has a huge size. The following diagram, graph 1.1, shows the
changes of the share price for the last five years which will allow us to start
analysing Melia Hoteles Internationals,
S.A.
The
share price is constantly fluctuating for the last years. Its lowest trough was
in march 2009 if we look at the information from the last five years. If we
just have a glance at the information in 2013, we can appreciate how the lowest
share price was obtained in march. Then since that month, the share price has
been constantly increasing leading to a price that is close to one of the
highests peaks for the share price of Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A in the
last years with a price of 8.07€.
Therefore according to this information we can say that this firm is improving
its performance in the stock
exchange and will probably keep on having a positive
percentage change in the share price and
will become closer to a historical maximum price per share of 19€.
Comments referring to the Income Statement 2011-2012
and first semester of 2013
From
2011 to 2012 we can see how there has been an increase in the total revenues by
27€ million. It is always good news to increase
revenues, as it shows that probably the firm is being well managed and more
people are being attracted by Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A for it’s
holidays. As well the operating expenses have increased due to several reasons.
Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A has incorporated two new resorts and obviusly
expenses have to raise in this case. If revenues also increase, which will
probably happen, progresively this expenses would be outperformed by future
revenues. A great problem that affects many business, is the appreciation of
the US dollar, which is also one of the causes of this increase in operating
expenses although in some cases could act in favour of businesses.
As a
final result, the net profit increased a 3.8% from 2011 to 2012 and therefore
reflected a situation of economic growth. It is not a great increase, but is
better to have a low net profit than recording losses. Some of the main causes
of this increase could be the decrease on the exchange expenses because of the
appreciation of the dollar or higher interest expenses due to a increase in the
average cost of debt.
So the
past situation of the company appears to be all right. It seems Melia Hoteles
Internationals, S.A has growth as one of its main objectives after
incorporating new resorts. This really makes sense as it is a sector where
there are really big changes in few periods of time, and companies must be
prepared to achieve the great demands of customers in several periods of the
year and there is not a better way than introducing new hotels and resorts.
Now we
can start talking about the income statement for the first semester of 2013
that records the revenues and expenses of a company. This will give us a better
idea of the current situation of the company. Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A
has grown its revenues by 3.9% as a consequence to the increase in revenues
made by the company. This is always positive for a company, because the
increase in revenues can give security to a business and even more during the
economic crisis we are now living. But we should also say that expenses
increased, even though operating expenses decreases by -2.2% some other
expenses raised as the one due to the improvement in the occupancy levels in
the hotels business of 2.8% and another great increase of 9.3% of the rental
expenses. As an overall result, the net profit decreases dramatically a 67.7%
due to an increase of 9.1€ million in financial costs because of an increase in debt and in the spreads
after refinancing debt and some credit lines.
To
conclude the comments about the financial statement it is clear that even
though the revenues increased the raise in expenses is greater. As well there
was a decrease of -7.6€ million in financial income as to the result of the
sale in 2012 of the share in an hotel. Likewise, Melia Hoteles Internationals,
S.A is suffering a great problem as the dollar has rised against the peso compared
to 2012 and lead to a increase in losses of 7.3€ million. So to sum up, the
result of the income statement on the first semester of 2013 ended with a loss
of 59.7€ million.
It is
clear that having losses is never a good option for a company. Such a big
company with so big losses should really consider how complicated the situation
is, and how bad it could turn if the following results continue having losses.
At the moment we can say they are in a difficult point where Melia Hoteles
Internationals, S.A should work out a way to decrease its costs or its losses
could keep on increasing. We should state clear that the best semester for this
sector normally consites with the period of summer months, where the activity
in the hotels industry increases astonishingly. Although this could give some
kind of reassure to the stockholders of Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A, the
company can't go on with the activity in the same way, or in the long-run
problems of liquidity could clearly appear to this firm.
The
future situation of a company is never clear, it is really complicated to
predict the economy, although economists try to predict its movements. If we
just take into account the income statement we can easily say that Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A is not going through its best moment
with such a big loss. Revenues should increase to guarantee a decrease of
losses, if expenses are kept constant and there is a increase in sales. Even
though the situation in the stock exchange is improving leading to an increase
in the share price, the future situation of this company could become
unsusteinable.
Comments referring to Balance Sheet 2011-2012 and
first semester of 2013
The
Balance sheet shows the assets, liabilities and equity of a firm for a certain
year. It is closely influenced by the income statement as the net income,
result of the income statement, is one of the components of the equity. It is
seen that from 2011 to 2012 there has been a notorious reduction in the
tangible assets even though in constrast there is a higher assets value because
of the incorporation of the two new resorts I explained above.
There
is also a great increase on the investments in associates as there were some
investments linked to the joint ventures that were signed last December and
will allow the management of some resorts. This shows, as I said before, the
constant willingness of Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A to
keep on growing in order to achieve a greater market share and therefore be
able to reach more and more customers. If we have a glance at the liabilities
we can see how there is a shift form long-term liabilities to short-term
liabilities due to the debt maturities schedule. Melia Hoteles Internationals,
S.A went through a reclassification which is a shift from long-term debt to
short-term debt, and explains why the short-term bank debt increases whilst the
long-term bank debt was reduced.
There is a really high result for the net debt, up to 1,003€ million
which is again explained by the incorporation of the new resorts and all the
works in other hotels that required some changes. A great disbursment was
required in 2012 to achieve these changes. But after this, it comes the time to
see if that changes really worth and will not cause severe problems to the
company with the increases in expenses.
In
the first semester of 2013 there was a increase of 44€
million due to the consolidation of the company Tradyso. This helps to increase
the power of Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A in the economy. As well tangible
assets have decreased due to the sale of three hotels in June. In contrast to
the increase from 2011 to 2012 in investments in associates, in the first
semester of 2013, there was a decrease of 29€ million due for example to the negative result of
Adprotel. So finally total assets have increased a 1%, which is
a positive sign but could be even better.
In 2013 there were convertible bonds issued and caused a 159€ million increase of non current liabilities that
was, however, outperformed by an incredible reduction in the non current bank
debt due to the reclassification which lead to a -0.2% decrease in non current
liablities. The increase of 11€ million in
"Other non-current financial liabilities" is because of the recording
of the convertibility option for bonds issued in 2009 and 2013. On the other
hand, current bank debt has increased and therefore there has been an increase
in current liabilities of a 7.7%.
So
non-current assets, current assets and current liabilities have increased
whilst equity and non-current liabilities have decreased. The balance sheet
also shows the movement from long-term debt to current debt, and that explains
the decrease of non-current liabilities and the increase in current
liabilities. This will make the firm have to be even more focused and
concentrated on its debt as they have to keep on being able to pay it. They are
probably giving a greater importance to solving the short-term situation in
order to grow in the future.
Comments referring to the Cash Flow Statement 2012 and
first semester 2013
The cash
flow statement shows the money going in and out of the company. The cash flow
from operating activities shows a really high value (151.1€ million) which means that there has
been an incoming amount of cash equal to that amount from operating activities,
activities which are directly related with the operations of Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A. however the cash flow from investment
activities has a negative value (-49.2€
million) and is explained by the investments made in fixed assets and property.
It is normal that after making really big investments as the incorporation of
new resorts, the cash flow from investing activities is negative. What is
positive for Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A is the great amount
of cash incoming from operating activities. This firm should work hard on
maintaining this, as it compensated the negative values in the investing and
financing cash flows.
In the
first semester of 2013, the cash flow from operating activities is by the way
26.6€ million, a much lower
value than the year before, but is normal as it is just for one semester and
not for a complete year. The cash flow from investing activities has a greater
decrease however equal to -73.8€ million. The last cash flow from financing
activities is 13.4€ million and once we have the value for the three cash flows
we can see how the situation at the moment is becoming worst. This is because
the amount of cash going out of Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A is
greater than the amount of cash going in.
I must
repeat that the best period of the year normally in this sector is the second
semester, and maybe, once we have the cash flow statement for the whole year,
we can see how it has compensated a little bit more. However at the moment Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A is in a complicated point regarding
the cash flow statement, and should make a big effort to increase the cash flow
from operating activities.
Comments referring to the Statement of Changes on
Equity 2010-2011-2012
The
amount of capital has remained constant throughout these years and shows some
stability that is positive for the future situation of a company. The share
premium has decreased from 2010 to 2012 and is the excess amount received by a firm over the par value of its
shares. This amount forms a part of the non-distributable reserves of the firm
which usually can be used only for purposes specified under corporate
legislation so the greater, the better for a company. The other reserves have
been increasing and is a really positive sign.
Likewise, retained earnings have increased through the
period and is good news for the company as the retained earnings is the percentage of net earnings not paid out as dividends, but retained
by the company to be reinvested in its core business or to pay debt. It is
recorded under shareholders equity on the balance sheet. So the greater the
better. The net income of the parent company has been constantly decreasing and
is a negative consequence as it meands that expenses are greater than revenues
in the parent company. Finally a good result in total net equity as it has been
increasing up to 2012.
So if we
think about the results of the company in its changes of equity, we can say
that it is positive that the total net equity has been growing, as it is a sign
that illustrates the growth of the company. It is not as good the fact that the
parent company has negative net income results and that is a problem that
should be treated. In general it is a positive statement, although it could be
better if the company had greater values for the share premium for example. Melia Hoteles Internationals, S.A will probably keep on growing in the
future if it is able to outperform the enormous expenses it has to deal with.
To fullfil this objective, this firm should take care of the debt, in the
short-term and in the long-term, as this could be done with the retained
earnings, that by the way have been increasing. It should also concentrate on
maintaining such big revenues, which reflect how probably the service developed
by the firm is going in the correct path.

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